My first status for the 2016. Of course, we don't even know who will be running. We just know that there will not be an incumbent, barring a change in the presidency before the term is over. As such, my initial work is based on the relative position of the parties in Congress, the legislatures, and the governor's offices. Starting in 2016, I will bring polling into my formulas. Until then, there will be only modest changes, with adjustments for each elections. For now, the Republicans have the edge. We will see if they will be better next time at taking it to the White House.
We have our first siting of presidential hopeful in Iowa. Marco Rubio will be here next week.
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