Florida edges back into Romney's column. Missouri, however, significantly weakens for Romney. On the other side, Iowa Nevada, and Ohio all weakened their support for Obama.
Actually, quite a bit of movement today. It's as if no one took Memorial Day off.
First, North Carolina eased back into Romney's column. Nearby, South Carolina moved to "Safe Romney". Nevada went from "At Risk Obama" to "Lean Obama".
Still a sizable lead for Obama, but more blue states are now vulnerable than red states.
Florida has been hovering since I started this year. It moves back into toss-up for now. Expect it to go lean Romney or lean Obama in the near future. Also expect North Carolina and Virginia to change location.
North Carolina didn't stay in Romney's column very long. Likely to change a few more times before it is over. The recall effort in Wisconsin appears to be moving the state more towards a toss-up. Today it moves from "in play" to "leans Obama".
There haven't been many polls lately, so very little movement in the map. Virginia and North Carolina have been edging toward Romeny, with North Carolina finally moving to Romney's column. Although still leading, this race is very close. To win, Romney would need to pick up New Hampshire, Ohio, and Virgina, and keep all the states currently in his column. Imagine this will go back and forth in the coming weeks.
Florida moves back into Romney's column, although weak. There is also movement in North Carolina and Wisconsin, which may result in a change in the near future, both in Romney's favor.
I've added a new category, "At Risk". These states, while still heavily leaning red or blue, is showing some signs of changing. For Obama, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin are "At Risk". For Romney, Arizona, Missouri, and South Carolina are "At Risk". I've also changed the color code on the map to be a little clearer.
Florida briefly went into Romney's column, shown below in the daily tracking. Obama now has 5 of his states in play: Colorado, Iowa, New Hampshire, Ohio, and Virginia. This puts enough states "in play" to swing the election. These states, plus Florida and North Carolina, are the ones to watch in the coming months. I would expect these to move back and forth between Obama and Romney.
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